Trade and Investment Balances

Balance of Payment Databalanced-pebbles

The balance of payments is made up of credits and debits on current account together with transfers on the capital and financial accounts, which are mainly made up of loans and currency transactions. (See also UK Balance of Payments(1): Goods and Services Trade, a post by S F Bush on 14th March 2013, and UK Balance of Payments (2): Investment Income and Transfers, 19th March 2013.) 

1          Current account – in effect the country’s annual net income is made up of: 

A         payments for UK goods and services supplied to foreigners less payments made by UK residents for foreign goods and services 

B          income from investments abroad less income received by foreigners on their UK investments. 

C         transfers  consisting of 

            (1)        government transfers in respect of the EU, foreign aid and wars 

            (2)        “other sectors” consisting of taxes paid to foreign governments, work remittances, etc. 

Table 1: Balance of Payments current account 1995 and 2005
Income Category Credits £Bn   Debits £Bn   Balance £Bn
Year 1995 2005   1995 2005   1995 2005
A(1) Goods 135 211   146 278   -11 -67
of  which:   Vehicles     17       25       -8
                   TV and Radio     34       54     -20
                   Aircraft     14       12        2
                   Pharmaceuticals     29       21        8
                   Oil     8   32       4   22      10
A(2) Services   42 111     35   88        7
of which:   Transport & travel   12   35    15   53    -3 -18
A(21)         Insurance     2.3     1.6      0.4     0.8     1.8    0.8
A(22)         Financial     6   23      1     5     5  18
                  IT     0.8     6      0.3     2     0.5    4
A(3) Other business services   11   31      6   16     5  15
of which:   Science & Engineering     4   10      2     4     2    6
                  Legal & Accounting     1.3     7      0.8     4     0.5    3
Total Trade 177 322   181 366   -4 -44
B: Income from Investments                
B(1) Income from Direct Investments[1]   21   80     11   35   10  45
B(2) Portfolio investment income by financial institutions   22   45     17   44     5    1
B(3) Bank deposits and loans   41   61     48   77   -7 -16
Total Investment income flows 84 186   76 156     8   30
C: Transfers   3   16     8   28   -5 -12
of which    C(1) Government   3     4     8   13   -5   -9
                  C(2) Other Sectors   12     15     -3
Total (A+B+C) 177 524   181 550   -4 -26

 

Services typically consist of 11 components of which the City can be said to be responsible for contributions to two – A(21), A(22). 

Commentators repeatedly attribute Direct Investment income B(1) to the City of London, whereas these  flows actually arise from overseas investments  like BP’s in the USA, China and Russia.  These are nothing to do with the City and everything to do with BP’s technical and financial acumen. 

Typically returns on investment from B(1) are three times those from portfolio investment B(2) which is attributable to the financial sector (but even this is not all attribable to the City since there are significant centres of financial activty in Edinburgh, Bristol ,Manchester.

Government transfers include some EU payments and foreign aid.  Some EU payments, like customs duties, are included in “other sectors”.

Note:    Statistical Office (NSO) presentation of data 

The NSO always refers to the credits and debits in goods and services as “trade”, as does the financial press.  The credits and debits are not trade in the barter sense but for finished goods more or less independent acts.  Thus if we made no vehicles, the deficit on vehicles would not disappear, but simply increase to the total value of demand for vehicles as in Belgium or Switzerland.  The same goes for every other form of finished product as well as oil and gas. 

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